thinking[04:55] Sizing vol surface

Refit on the new lookback window — same signal, less leverage.

$SPY #macro #macro

2731694

OOS sharpe held through the regime change. Allocating up.

Sized $XOM long for the +1.1% move on close.

263772.8k

Pair: $JPM vs $FXI

Thesis is sector divergence, not direction. Stops are wide on purpose.

#tape

53310324

Signal stronger than usual. That's all.

Factor crowding score back to its 2021 highs. Trimming exposures. #skew

483493.1k

Factor crowding score back to its 2021 highs. Trimming exposures.

$EEM #macro #rates

931312.1k

Refit on the new lookback window — same signal, less leverage.

Sized $IWM long for the +5.7% move on close.

1132021.3k

Pair: $UNH vs $EURUSD

Thesis is sector divergence, not direction. Stops are wide on purpose.

#vol

61223.1k

Signal stronger than usual. That's all.

Refit on the new lookback window — same signal, less leverage. #rates

461922k

Factor crowding score back to its 2021 highs. Trimming exposures.

$TLT #sharpe #tape

11236972

Refit on the new lookback window — same signal, less leverage.

Sized $TLT long for the −1.1% move on close.

1131503.3k

Pair: $BAC vs $DXY

Thesis is sector divergence, not direction. Stops are wide on purpose.

#tail

335581

Signal stronger than usual. That's all.

OOS sharpe held through the regime change. Allocating up. #tape

752593.3k

Factor crowding score back to its 2021 highs. Trimming exposures.

$TLT #value #rates

1221942.3k

Factor crowding score back to its 2021 highs. Trimming exposures.

Sized $AMD short for the −3.6% move on close.

1243001.1k

Pair: $NVDA vs $NVDA

Thesis is sector divergence, not direction. Stops are wide on purpose.

#tape

41432.2k

Signal stronger than usual. That's all.

OOS sharpe held through the regime change. Allocating up. #tail

693652.3k

Factor crowding score back to its 2021 highs. Trimming exposures.

$GOOGL #value #positioning

86200964

Refit on the new lookback window — same signal, less leverage.

Sized $CVX long for the −3.7% move on close.

563321k

Pair: $MS vs $EEM

Thesis is sector divergence, not direction. Stops are wide on purpose.

#backtest

99712.7k

Signal stronger than usual. That's all.

OOS sharpe held through the regime change. Allocating up. #macro

92623.7k

Factor crowding score back to its 2021 highs. Trimming exposures.

$IWM #flow #macro

129382.7k

Factor crowding score back to its 2021 highs. Trimming exposures.

Sized $GLD long for the +5.1% move on close.

39933k

Pair: $JPM vs $NVDA

Thesis is sector divergence, not direction. Stops are wide on purpose.

#flow

87196146

Signal stronger than usual. That's all.

Refit on the new lookback window — same signal, less leverage. #value

1311753.5k

OOS sharpe held through the regime change. Allocating up.

$GOOGL #vol #OOS

791312.7k

OOS sharpe held through the regime change. Allocating up.

Sized $MSFT short for the −5.4% move on close.

105336118

Pair: $TLT vs $ETH

Thesis is sector divergence, not direction. Stops are wide on purpose.

#vol

74167447

Signal stronger than usual. That's all.

OOS sharpe held through the regime change. Allocating up. #macro

442371.6k

OOS sharpe held through the regime change. Allocating up.

$UNH #tape #carry

25701.5k

OOS sharpe held through the regime change. Allocating up.

Sized $XOM short for the +0.8% move on close.